Mamata might be contesting on two seats and dropping each for two very totally different causes

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee on Tuesday, out of the blue introduced that she is planning to contest the upcoming Assembly elections from two seats viz. Bhowanipur and Nandigram. “I’ve at all times began my marketing campaign for the meeting polls from Nandigram. It is a fortunate place for me. So this time I really feel that I ought to contest the meeting polls from right here. I request our state social gathering president Subrata Bakshi to approve my title from this seat,’ mentioned Banerjee at a rally in Nandigram.Just like Rahul Gandhi within the 2019 General elections, the TMC supremo has discovered refuge within the Nandigram seat as her fortunes on the incumbent Bhowanipur seat aren’t trying promising. And if the present studying of the political local weather is any indication, Mamata could possibly be gazing twin defeats on each the seats.The motive being, since 1947, the bhadralok group has dominated each politics in addition to the tradition of West Bengal, and extra so on the Bhowanipur seat the place Mamata Banerjee contests elections. The educated, center and upper-middle class, of Bengal who had as soon as given their seal of approval to Mamata Banerjee’s bid to oust the Left from Bengal, has now grown weary of her vote financial institution and appeasement politics.Furthermore, the phoenix-like rise of BJP in Bengal and the renewed curiosity of upper-class Bhadraloks within the saffron social gathering may additional dent Mamata Banerjee’s probabilities of retaining the seat. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP pulled a bunny out of the hat by profitable 18 out of the 42 Lok Sabha constituencies within the state and crossed the 40 % vote share mark, a 23 share factors soar from its 2014 efficiency.Secondly, it’s crucial to notice that Suvendhu Adhikari who just lately defected from TMC to BJP is a sitting MLA from Nandigram. By parachuting on the identical seat, Mamata Banerjee is making an attempt to cease Adhikari in his tracts and make him focus solely on his seat. Currently, Adhikari is on a whirlwind tour of the state to consolidate votes for the BJP.Nandigram and Singur had been the 2 hotspots the place TMC constructed its basis to return to energy in 2011. Mamata’s blood-stained protests towards Tata’s Nano manufacturing unit introduced her into the limelight and finally energy however not many know that it was Suvdendhu Adhikari who was the pressure behind the Nandigram motion.Since then he went from power to power and has a confirmed observe file of profitable be it the Assembly or the Lok Sabha elections. Over the years he has prolonged his clout past his residence district of Purba Medinipur to Jangalmahal — Bankura, Purulia, and Paschim Medinipur districts.And simply the best way Sarma ended up delivering the North East to the BJP which earlier was once a stronghold of the INC. However, as reported by TFI, Mamata has dedicated an analogous folly with Suvendu Adhikari as the previous TMC heavyweight is all set to change into the BJP’s Himanta Biswa Sarma in Bengal.Read extra: Why Suvendu Adhikari will show to be TMC’s Himanta Biswa Sarma mistakeAnother main headache for Mamta Banerjee is the presence of Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM. Nandigram is a constituency the place the minority class has a big affect. According to the Religious composition knowledge of blocks of Nandigram-I, Nandigram-II and the census city of Nandigram, Muslims had a inhabitants share of 34 %, 12.1percent, and 40.3 % respectively in these census items.Media experiences have been swirling round suggesting, ‘if Mamata indeed goes ahead and contests the election here, Owaisi could field his Muslim candidate on the seat.’ And as we have now seen already within the final Bihar meeting elections, AIMIM is usually a giant-killer, and TMC, its huge sufferer.AIMIM received 5 seats and damage the fortunes of RJD, JDU, as properly a congress on a number of different seats. While the Hindu and Bhadralok votes on the seat will go comfortably with Adhikari, the one vote financial institution Mamata had her hopes on could possibly be, properly and actually divided.As the elections are approaching, Mamata Banerjee and her TMC is getting the fact verify that the bottom is quietly slipping from beneath her, which explains her sudden choice to leap on two boats.