Why that is the final likelihood for the Taliban | OPINION

The Taliban lastly introduced an all-male interim authorities in Afghanistan, 23 days after the autumn of Kabul. Many folks predicted that the Taliban would announce a brand new set-up on the twentieth anniversary of 9/11 however these predictions proved improper. The Taliban prevented additional humiliation of the superpower and introduced their authorities 4 days earlier than the 9/11 anniversary. They had been solely ready for the autumn of Panjshir.

The US administration isn’t trying proud of the brand new Afghan interim authorities as a result of there isn’t a illustration of different political teams. It is a 100% Taliban authorities, together with some ministers needed by the FBI and a few who spent a few years in US prisons. Most of the faces, together with the brand new head of the cabinet, Mullah Muhammad Hassan, are previous colleagues of Taliban founder Mullah Muhammad Omar.This new Taliban authorities is trying like a legacy of Mullah Muhammad Omar however with some new ways and new allies on the worldwide scene. There are 22 ministers, together with two Deputy Prime Ministers and 5 Deputy Ministers within the new Taliban cabinet. Some extra ministers will probably be appointed within the coming days.Afghan ladies protest in opposition to Pakistan for meddling, serving to Taliban | In PicsTaliban head Mullah Haibatullah Akhunzada shaped this new authorities after lengthy consultations with Rehbari Shoora of the militant outfit. Akhunzada was very shut with Mullah Muhammad Omar and his son Abdul Rehman was killed in a suicide assault in Helmand in 2017. He will supervise the federal government as Mullah Muhammad Omar did. His standing within the new authorities isn’t completely different from a President. He is a non secular determine who included many Shia fighters in Taliban ranks and that is why he’s being thought of as a reformer and he might seem in entrance of the cameras however not fairly often.The new head of the interim cabinet, Mullah Muhammad Hassan, is included on the UN sanctions record. He served as Foreign Minister and Deputy Prime minister of the Taliban authorities between 1996 and 2001. Mullah Muhammad Hassan was a part of the small group that based the Taliban underneath the management of Mullah Muhammad Omar. He was the primary Governor of Kandahar in 1994 who later turned a deputy of Prime Minister Mullah Rabbani.Mullah Hassan Akhund met former Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif many instances between 1997 and 1999. Nawaz Sharif tried his finest that the Taliban extradite Osama bin Laden however the Taliban management refused. General Pervez Musharraf tried the identical however the Taliban refused handy over Osama bin Laden to the US after 9/11. Mullah Akhund with Nawaz Sharif in 1999 | Credits: AFPPakistani officers tried to lure Mullah Muhammad Hassan Akhund and Mullah Ubaidullah after 9/11 by way of Taliban Ambassador in Pakistan Mullah Abdul Salam Zaeef. They compelled Zaeef to ask the Deputy Prime Minister and the Defence Minister of the primary Taliban regime in Pakistan for talks. Zaeef did the alternative. He warned each Hassan and Ubaidullah that they might be arrested in Pakistan. Zaeef was handed over to the US after the autumn of the Taliban regime in December 2001. Ubaidullah and his deputy Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar had been arrested in Pakistan.Ubaidullah died in Pakistani custody however Baradar was launched in 2018 and he was the one who in the end signed a peace settlement in Qatar with the US.Mullah Baradar is junior to Mullah Muhammad Hassan Akhund. He will work as a deputy of Hassan. Baradar can be on the UN sanctions record however he was allowed worldwide journey after his launch in 2018. Some folks name Mullah Baradar the “deal maker” as a result of he signed the Doha settlement, however really, he was working underneath the directions of Rehbari Shoora led by Mullah Muhammad Hassan.Another Deputy Prime Minister, Mullah Abdul Salam Hanafi, is an Uzbek from Faryab province. He was a part of the Taliban from the start. Minister for Economy Qari Deen Muhammad Din Muhammad Hanif is a Tajik from Badakhshan. He served within the first Taliban authorities in several capacities. There are another non-Pashtuns within the new cabinet, together with new Army Chief Qari Fasihudin who’s a Tajik who captured Panjshir.Interior Minister Siraj Haqqani is on the FBI’s most-wanted record. Siraj Haqqani could make an enormous cope with the US by recovering or releasing US citizen Mark Frerichs who was kidnapped from Khost in January 2020, only a few days earlier than the Doha settlement was signed. US officers suspected {that a} former US Navy veteran and civil engineer was kidnapped by the Haqqanis. US officers tried for his launch earlier than signing the Doha settlement however the Trump administration deserted him. Now the Biden administration is making an attempt for his launch. Haqqani might demand the discharge of some Afghans detained in US prisons for years.Haqqani might face many different challenges. He is now answerable for inside safety. He must cope with IS-KP and lots of different militant teams. According to a current UN report, Al-Qaeda is current in 15 provinces of Afghanistan. The Taliban do not settle for this UN report however they can’t deny the truth that Al-Qaeda leaders gave an interview to CNN just lately from Afghanistan.Tehrik e Taliban Pakistan can be utilizing Afghan territory to assault Pakistani safety forces. Will Siraj Haqqani be capable of cease the actions of Al-Qaeda and TTP in Afghanistan or will he search their help in opposition to IS-KP? New Defense Minister Mullah Yaqoob will present him full help for bringing peace and safety to Afghanistan. The first Taliban authorities unarmed all frequent residents within the areas underneath their management. Will Siraj Haqqani and Mullah Yaqoob do the identical this time? If they attempt to disarm frequent residents in Afghanistan, they might get worldwide help however they are going to positively face resistance in some areas.Molvi Amir Khan Muttaqi is the brand new Foreign Minister of Afghanistan. He additionally labored as Information Minister within the first Taliban authorities. He can journey overseas simply. He isn’t included on needed lists. Mullah Hidayatullah Badri is the brand new Finance Minister. He can have an enormous problem to rearrange salaries for the federal government staff subsequent month. He wants cash to run the state. He is now making an attempt to unfreeze greater than 9 billion {dollars} Afghan reserves frozen by the US after the escape of Ashraf Ghani on August fifteenth.It solely relies upon upon a brand new engagement between the US and the Taliban. There are indications that the US is able to work with the Taliban. The CIA Chief visited Kabul instantly after the autumn of Kabul and the Pentagon additionally mentioned that they might work with the Taliban.But the composition of the brand new authorities introduced by the Taliban might drive the US to be cautioned. The US would not need the Taliban to change into allies of China and Iran. On the opposite facet, the Taliban additionally must make some changes and present flexibility. Pakistani Intelligence Chief Lt Gen Faiz Hameed visited Kabul final week and requested the Taliban to interact the worldwide neighborhood positively. New Intelligence Chief of Afghanistan Abdul Haq Wasiq and a few ministers within the new set-up hung out within the US jail in Guantanamo Bay. Taliban should keep away from making prisons like Guantanamo bay.The Taliban shouldn’t underestimate their opponents. Ashraf Ghani, Amrullah Saleh and Ahmad Masood ran away from Afghanistan but when the Taliban fail to carry peace and safety, they might face public rebellion in lots of areas. Ahmad Masood is planning to announce an exile Afghan authorities. This authorities might change into an issue for the Taliban in the event that they fail.This is their final likelihood. Now they aren’t preventing in opposition to any tremendous energy. They are preventing in opposition to some massive challenges. Most of the challenges are inside, not exterior. The greatest problem is to save lots of Afghanistan from a civil struggle. The Taliban had been created out of a civil struggle between 1990 and 1994. This time their failure might push Afghanistan into one other civil struggle and this civil struggle might create some new gamers in Afghanistan in opposition to the Taliban.Today Afghanistan is weak and the Taliban are trying robust. They must make Afghanistan robust for their very own survival. They survived after 9/11 as a result of they had been preventing in opposition to overseas occupation forces. Now overseas occupation forces are out. The Taliban should not behave like an occupation drive. I repeat that is their final likelihood.