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3.4 per cent rise in vote share leads to 57 extra seats

4 min read

Express News Service

AHMEDABAD:  The rise of a mere 3.40% of votes has translated into BJP victories at 57 seats on this 12 months’s Assembly polls in Gujarat. The get together secured 1.67 crore votes out of three.3 crore, enabling it to say a vote share of 52.50%. In distinction with the 2017 elections, the get together’s vote share elevated by 1.5% in comparison with 2012’s nevertheless it misplaced 16 seats (see graphic).

When Prime Minister Narendra Modi was the state chief minister, the vote share of Congress was constantly lowering, though the share of votes that Congress obtained within the 2017 meeting elections was larger by 4%. In 2012, the Congress obtained 61 seats with 38.93% votes and the BJP bagged 115 seats with 47.85% of votes.

In 2017, the Congress received 77 seats with 42.97% of the votes, which was 16 seats greater than in 2012, with only a 4%  improve within the vote share, giving the get together 16 seats in 2017. On the opposite hand, the BJP’s vote share in 2017 elevated by 1.5% in comparison with 2012, however the get together misplaced 16 seats in comparison with 2012. Thus, regardless of the rise in votes, BJP suffered an enormous loss within the 2017 meeting elections. That 12 months, the Patidar reservation motion, and the OBC agitation impacted the BJP, leading to losses in Saurashtra and north Gujarat zones.

In the 2022 elections, each Hardik and Alpesh Thakor, who was the face of the 2017 agitation, contested on the BJP ticket. AAP additionally fielded its candidates on all 182 seats. Apparently, the negligible influence of the agitation and the entry of AAP benefited the BJP.

In 2022, the vote share of Congress decreased from 42.93 % to 27.30% as a result of triangular battle. The get together misplaced greater than 15% of the votes, and the get together misplaced 60 seats. The BJP obtained solely 3.40% extra votes in 2022 than in 2017 and has gained 57 seats.

With this proportion, now it will likely be tough for the Congress to breach the saffron citadel in 26 Lok Sabha seats from the state. The BJP received all 26 seats within the 2019 election regardless of the meeting election loss solely two years in the past. A complete of three.13 crore voters took half within the democratic train this time in Gujarat, out of which 1.67 crore voters voted for the BJP.

Political analyst Dilip Patel says greater than the share, the choice to alter all the Rupani cabinet after the Covid-19 pandemic has additionally paid off for the Modi authorities this time. The prime BJP management realized that the get together would face heavy anti-incumbency if the election had been fought underneath the management of former chief minister Vijay Rupani.

AHMEDABAD:  The rise of a mere 3.40% of votes has translated into BJP victories at 57 seats on this 12 months’s Assembly polls in Gujarat. The get together secured 1.67 crore votes out of three.3 crore, enabling it to say a vote share of 52.50%. In distinction with the 2017 elections, the get together’s vote share elevated by 1.5% in comparison with 2012’s nevertheless it misplaced 16 seats (see graphic).

When Prime Minister Narendra Modi was the state chief minister, the vote share of Congress was constantly lowering, though the share of votes that Congress obtained within the 2017 meeting elections was larger by 4%. In 2012, the Congress obtained 61 seats with 38.93% votes and the BJP bagged 115 seats with 47.85% of votes.

In 2017, the Congress received 77 seats with 42.97% of the votes, which was 16 seats greater than in 2012, with only a 4%  improve within the vote share, giving the get together 16 seats in 2017. On the opposite hand, the BJP’s vote share in 2017 elevated by 1.5% in comparison with 2012, however the get together misplaced 16 seats in comparison with 2012. Thus, regardless of the rise in votes, BJP suffered an enormous loss within the 2017 meeting elections. That 12 months, the Patidar reservation motion, and the OBC agitation impacted the BJP, leading to losses in Saurashtra and north Gujarat zones.

In the 2022 elections, each Hardik and Alpesh Thakor, who was the face of the 2017 agitation, contested on the BJP ticket. AAP additionally fielded its candidates on all 182 seats. Apparently, the negligible influence of the agitation and the entry of AAP benefited the BJP.

In 2022, the vote share of Congress decreased from 42.93 % to 27.30% as a result of triangular battle. The get together misplaced greater than 15% of the votes, and the get together misplaced 60 seats. The BJP obtained solely 3.40% extra votes in 2022 than in 2017 and has gained 57 seats.

With this proportion, now it will likely be tough for the Congress to breach the saffron citadel in 26 Lok Sabha seats from the state. The BJP received all 26 seats within the 2019 election regardless of the meeting election loss solely two years in the past. A complete of three.13 crore voters took half within the democratic train this time in Gujarat, out of which 1.67 crore voters voted for the BJP.

Political analyst Dilip Patel says greater than the share, the choice to alter all the Rupani cabinet after the Covid-19 pandemic has additionally paid off for the Modi authorities this time. The prime BJP management realized that the get together would face heavy anti-incumbency if the election had been fought underneath the management of former chief minister Vijay Rupani.