The Super 4 stage of the Asia Cup 2025 has witnessed fluctuating fortunes. Sri Lanka’s strong performance in the initial league stage, winning all matches, has been overshadowed by consecutive defeats in the Super 4. Their path to the final now relies on other teams’ results. Pakistan’s victory over Sri Lanka, while significant, doesn’t guarantee a final berth. A major upset by Bangladesh is needed to alter the current standings.
The points table reveals India leading with a strong net run rate, followed by Pakistan and Bangladesh. Sri Lanka’s position is precarious, having lost both Super 4 matches. The equation for reaching the final involves India versus Bangladesh. An Indian win eliminates Sri Lanka, securing India’s final spot. The Pakistan-Bangladesh match then becomes a virtual semi-final. A Bangladesh victory keeps all possibilities open, requiring Pakistan and India to win their remaining matches, while Bangladesh would top the table. Sri Lanka would also maintain hope, with their final match against India offering a chance to advance.