Karnataka Assembly elections: Opinion polls current blended outcomes

All three of Karnataka’s important political occasions—BJP, Congress, and JD(S)—are busy making their final pitches as a result of the high-stakes election advertising marketing campaign entails an end on Monday (May 8), two days sooner than the state goes to poll on May 10, 2023. While the entire occasions are inserting their biggest foot forward to garner the attention of the voters, a variety of opinion polls for the Karnataka Assembly elections have emerged predicting assorted outcomes.

While some have predicted a strong victory for the incumbent BJP, others have projected Congress to have a bonus over its competing occasions inside the southern state.

The Karnataka Assembly has 224 members and a tally of 113 is required to sort a simple majority authorities.

Name of the surveyBJPCongressJD(S)Others

Zee-Matrize103-11882-9728-331 to 4

Karnataka TV 105-11080-8534-383 to 7

Suvarna News-Jan Ki Baat100-11486-9820-263 to 7

NewsFirst-Matrize96-10684-9429-342 to 7

Tv9 Kannada103-11579-9126-361 to 3

India TV-CNX85105322

ABP- CVoter 73-85110-12221-292 to 6

C Daily Tracker46147283

Public TV’s Mood85-9598-10828-33

Vistara News88-9384-9023-26

South First-People’s Pulse90-10095-10525-30

Zee-Matrize Opinion poll

Zee TV launched the outcomes of its opinion poll carried out in affiliation with an organization referred to as Matrize. According to the survey, the incumbent BJP will as quickly as as soon as extra sort the federal authorities in Karnataka, by comfortably crossing the clear majority.

Karnataka Opinion Poll-2023 : मोदी ने कर दिया बड़ा खेल, ओपिनियन पोल ने चौंकाया! https://t.co/g3BZd3F7Hg#karnatakaelection2023 #AssemblyElection2023 #matrizenewswithzeenews pic.twitter.com/BlKrUtRPmc

— Matrize News Communications Pvt. Ltd (@Matrize_NC) May 8, 2023

As launched on this survey, the attainable seats for the occasions out of a whole of 224 seats are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 103-118
Indian National Congress: 82-97
JD(S): 28-33
Others: 1-4

Thus, the survey is predicting a comfortable victory for BJP with 103-118 seats inside the 224-member dwelling. Notably, inside the 2018 Assembly elections, the BJP gained 104 of the 224 legislative seats in Karnataka, a giant enhance of 64 seats over the sooner polls.

Karnataka TV opinion poll

A regional Kannada channel Karnataka TV moreover launched the outcomes of its final survey via which it predicted the BJP to emerge as the one largest celebration inside the upcoming Assembly polls.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 105-110
Indian National Congress: 80-85
JD(S): 34-38
Others: 3-7

Suvarna News-Jan Ki Baat opinion poll

Ahead of the Karnataka assembly elections 2023, the second and final pre-poll survey carried out by important Kannada info channel Suvarna News 24×7 and Jan Ki Baat has predicted that the ruling BJP will emerge as the one largest celebration and might even cross the halfway mark inside the upcoming Karnataka Assembly Elections. The opinion poll was based totally on a survey of over 30000 respondents all through different districts of the state.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 100-114
Indian National Congress: 86-98
JD(S): 20-26
Others: 3-7

The pre-poll nonetheless positioned Congress barely ahead of BJP with regards to vote share. The potential vote share of each political celebration on this survey is as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 38-40.5%
Indian National Congress: 38.5-41.5%
JD(S): 14-16.5%
Others: 4-7%

NewsFirst-Matrize survey

NewsFirst carried out a survey along with Matrize which moreover predicted that the BJP would emerge as the one largest celebration nonetheless might keep barely beneath the halfway mark inside the upcoming Karnataka Assembly elections.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 96-106
Indian National Congress: 84-94
JD(S): 29-34
Others: 2-7

News 1st Matrize Karnataka Opinion Poll

BJP : 96-106
INC : 84-94
JDS : 29-34
OTH : 2-7

Congress shall be spherical 100. BJP 95 & JDS spherical 28.

— News Arena India (@NewsArenaIndia) April 25, 2023
Tv9 Kannada opinion poll

The outcomes of the Tv9 Kannada opinion poll that obtained right here out inside the first week of May confirmed BJP rising as the one largest celebration inside the upcoming polls.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 103-115
Indian National Congress: 79-91
JD(S): 26-36
Others: 1-3

The potential vote share of each political celebration on this survey is as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 48%
Indian National Congress: 33%
JD(S): 14%
Others: 5%

India TV-CNX opinion poll

India TV launched the final outcomes of the survey and opinion poll carried out in affiliation with an organization referred to as CNX. The survey reveals that the Congress celebration might emerge as the one largest celebration inside the Karnataka assembly elections, nonetheless might fall eight seats in want of a clear majority.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 85
Indian National Congress: 105 
JD(S): 32
Others: 2

ABP- CVoter survey

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 73-85
Indian National Congress: 110-122
JD(S): 21-29
Others: 2-6

C Daily Tracker survey

The C Daily Tracker launched its survey outcomes on April 30, predicting Congress a clear edge inside the upcoming polls in Karnataka.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 46
Indian National Congress: 147
JD(S): 28
Others: 3

The potential vote share for various occasions is as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 30.6%
Indian National Congress: 44.4%
JD(S): 18%
Others: 7%

‘Mood of Karnataka’ by Public TV 

Public TV’s Mood in Karnataka moreover gave Congress the sting inside the upcoming poll. According to the survey, Congress might, nonetheless, not protected a clear majority inside the state polls.

As launched on this survey, the potential seats for various occasions are as follows:

Bhartiya Janata Party: 85-95
Indian National Congress: 98-108
JD(S): 28-33

A hung mandate is confirmed by Vistara News as a result of it gave 88-93 seats to BJP, 84-90 to Congress, and 23-26 to JD(S). According to the survey, there are 27–30 seats the place the result’s not sure.

The pre-election survey by South First-People’s Pulse gave Congress 98 seats, with a diffusion of 95 to 105 seats. The BJP is predicted to win 92 seats (90-100 seat fluctuate) and the JD(S) 27 seats (25-30 seat fluctuate).

Karnataka Assembly Elections

The Legislative Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Karnataka on May 10 2023 to elect all 224 members of the Karnataka Legislative Assembly. The outcomes shall be declared on May 13 2023.