‘Jan Ki Baat’ Opinion Poll predicts victory of Yogi Adityanath in UP: Details

Ahead of the upcoming Vidhan Sabha polls in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarkhand and Punjab, polling company ‘Jan Ki Baat‘ in affiliation with India News revealed an Opinion ballot for the three key States on Saturday (January 15).
The Jan Ki Baat Opinion ballot survey for the State of Uttar Pradesh was performed between December 22 final 12 months and January 10 this 12 months. A complete of 20,000 folks participated within the survey, between the age teams of 18-35 years (30%), 35-45 years (45%) and 45 years+ (25%). As per the findings, the BJP is ready to seize an estimated 39-40% of the overall votes and between 226 to 246 seats in an Assembly of 403.
Opinion ballot survey means that the Samajwadi Party (SP) would be the runners-up with 144-160 seats and a vote share of 34.5-36%. It additionally estimates that BJP will win 50 out of 86 seats reserved for the Scheduled Castes (SCs), adopted by Samajwadi Party (32 seats) and BSP (4 seats).
Screengrab of the Opinion ballot performed by Jan ki Baat
About 56% of the individuals need to see Yogi Adityanath because the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh. The different CM candidates in descending order of choice embody Akhilesh Yadav (32%), Mayawati (9%) and Priyanka Gandhi (2%).
Besides the Jan Ki Baat survey additionally states that the important thing points surrounding the elections embody Caste/Religion (25%), Development (20%), Law and Order (20%). At the identical time, about 85% of individuals imagine that PM Modi will draw votes for the BJP throughout the upcoming Vidhan Sabha polls.
Interestingly, round 45% of individuals opined that Yogi Adityanath should contest elections from the Mathura constituency whereas 15% advised his bastion of Gorakhpur.
BJP could clinch Uttarkhand, AAP distant third
Jan Ki Baat performed an Opinion Poll survey in Uttarkhand between December 21, 2021, and January 9, 2022. A complete of 5000 folks, belonging to age teams 18-25 years (18%), 25-30 years (22%), 35-45 years (40%) and 45+ years (20%) participated within the survey. The polls for Uttarakhand predicts a detailed contest, with BJP marginally forward of Congress.
The findings counsel that BJP could clinch the elections with a 38% vote share (34-38 seats), adopted by Congress with 36% vote share (24-33 seats). AAP is prone to bag 2-6 seats with a 13% vote share. If this prediction turns into true, a Congress-AAP alliance can occur to seize energy within the state.
Interestingly, about 40% of individuals have rated the efficiency of the incumbent BJP authorities as ‘Good.’ As per the survey, migration, improvement, well being and schooling are main election points within the Uttarkhand Vidhan Sabha polls.
Screengrab of the Opinion ballot performed by Jan ki Baat
Opinion Poll suggests snug AAP victory in Punjab
With a pattern dimension of 10,000 folks, Jan Ki Baat performed an Opinion Poll survey in Punjab between December 21, 2021, and January 11, 2021. According to the survey, AAP leads the race in Punjab with 58-65 seats (38-39%), adopted by Congress with 32-42 seats (34.5-35%). Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) is a distant third with 15-18 seats (19-20%), adopted by the BJP with an estimated 1-2 seats (5-6% vote share).
An estimated 33.4% of respondents said that the efficiency of the incumbent Congress authorities is poor whereas about 23.4% of them rated it as ‘good.’ The underlying problems with the Punjab election centre round inflation, improvement, unemployment and the drug epidemic within the State. Jan Ki Baat estimates that 48% of ladies voters will vote for AAP, adopted by Congress, SAD and BJP.
Screengrab of the Opinion ballot performed by Jan ki Baat
On January 8, the Election Commission of India (ECI) introduced the dates for the Vidhan Sabha elections in 5 States, particularly, Goa, Punjab, Manipur, Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. While briefing the media, Chief Election Commissioner Sushil Chandra knowledgeable that the elections within the poll-bound States will begin from February 10, 2022, to March 7, 2022.
Elections within the State of Uttar Pradesh will probably be performed in 7 phases, adopted by Manipur with 2 phases. Elections in Goa, Uttarkhand and Punjab will probably be performed in a single part. According to the Election Commission of India, the votes will probably be counted on March 10, 2022. ECI knowledgeable that every one bodily campaigning will probably be ceased till January 22, 2022, in mild of the rising circumstances of Coronavirus.