The Bihar Assembly elections present a complex challenge for Tejashwi Yadav, the Leader of the Opposition and RJD leader. Facing the BJP, JDU, and also his estranged brother Tej Pratap Yadav, expelled from the RJD, Tejashwi has a lot to navigate. Tej Pratap’s moves are now seen as potential disruptors of Tejashwi’s political strategy.
The tension between Tej Pratap Yadav and his family escalated when he was expelled from the party for six years on May 25, linked to a controversy. He later stated his social media account was hacked.
Lalu Prasad distanced himself from Tej Pratap due to his ‘irresponsible behavior.’ After his expulsion, Tej Pratap accused others of conspiring against him and his brother Tejashwi, and subsequently unfollowed his sisters on social media.
Tej Pratap has announced an alliance to contest the elections, joining forces with several smaller parties: Bhojpuria Jan Morcha (BJM), Vikas Vanchit Insan Party (VVIP), Sanyukt Kisan Vikas Party (SKVP), Pragatisheel Janata Party (PJP), and Wajib Adhikar Party (WAP).
Although the smaller parties in his alliance have limited support, political analysts suggest that this could still harm Tejashwi Yadav. Tej Pratap is advocating for social justice, rights, and transformation in Bihar, but without directly attacking Tejashwi, he accuses opponents of conspiring against him.
He invites the RJD and Congress to join, but rejects any alliance with the BJP. He cites ideological differences and maintains his focus on social justice.
Tej Pratap seems to be following the AIMIM model. AIMIM sought to join the Mahagathbandhan but began forming a Third Front in Bihar. Tej Pratap’s independent alliance came first, however, making for a more competitive race.
There’s the NDA (Nitish Kumar and BJP), the Mahagathbandhan (Congress, RJD, Left parties, and Mukesh Sahani’s party), Tej Pratap’s alliance, and a possible Fourth Front by AIMIM.
Bihar AIMIM president Akhtarul Iman says his party will announce its own alliance after August 15th, with the details revealed later. In past elections, AIMIM allied with the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party and other parties.
With opposition votes from Muslims, Dalits, and backward classes, multiple alliances could fragment the votes, potentially hurting the Mahagathbandhan and benefiting the BJP and Nitish Kumar.
While some analysts downplay Tej Pratap’s alliance, citing his political maturity and his father’s disapproval, Tejashwi Yadav appears to be in a stronger position, with support from established parties like the Congress and Left parties, which will strengthen his standing.